Here is a look at all 3 tight end’s Market Share of Yards and Touchdowns.
Yards
Touchdowns
Paulsen is clearly inferior to Davis and Reed as an athlete. What is interesting is that Reed was much better as a freshmen and sophomore. While Davis eventually caught up to be Reed’s equal, the difference in quarterback play could not have been more dramatic. These metrics would seem to infer that Davis and Reed are comparable prospects, but with Davis coming back from injury, it would seem to dictate that Reed is going to take the starting job.
In 2012, The Redskins targeted a tight end 87 times. In 2011, that number jumped to 124. The injuries to Davis and RG3 as well as the general state of flux of the offense caused those numbers to go down. However, historically, the Shanahan’s have loved to use the tight end. Reed’s ability to play in-line (he is a really, really bad blocker, but he can learn), in motion, in the slot, and at the X is going to cause his usage rates to go up. His pattern of usage early on will be something to watch. If the Redskins get him the ball in the open field and while he is on the move, his fantasy ceiling is quite high. I am going to subscribe to C.D Carter’s tight end streaming theory in 2013, and there is good chance that Reed is continual starter for many fantasy teams in 2013.
]]>